KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleClaude 98%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
88 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
25,9 k €
Liquidité
19,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
97.0% / 98.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:0020 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Claude98%
Tendance du volume
$29.6k13 juil.2j de données14 juil.
Marchés Associés
Best AI at the end of 2026?
26,8 k €Claude: 65%KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
17,2 k €ChatGPT: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
195 k €Anthropic: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
40,8 k €Anthropic: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
39 k €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
29,3 k €Jacob Tsimerman: 24.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRègles
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.