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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. US Politics
  3. Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

4.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsEurope19j
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Ed Miliband
Ed Miliband 19%+4.0%
En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1,7 €

Liquidité

129,5 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

14.0% / 18.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

4 mai 26, 19:301 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Ed Miliband19%

Règles

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

Marchés Associés

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

28,1 €
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What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?

8,8 €
Trump: 16%KalshiKALSHI
CA-41 primary: first place

CA-41 primary: first place

2,5 €
Linda Sanchez: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Next government of the United Kingdom?

Next government of the United Kingdom?

0 €
Reform UK majority: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Starmer out before July?

7,6 k €
Oui: 16.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

2,8 k €
No change: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.