KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before November 33%-4.0pt
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,2 €
Liquidité
6,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
33.0% / 41.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
13 mars 26, 14:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Playboi Carti release BABY BOI this year?
KalshiPlayboi Carti Streams in 2026
KalshiWill Drake and Playboi Carti make a song together this year?
KalshiWhich artists will release a new song in 2026?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani release another song?
PolymarketWill Kanye release a song titled 'second holocaust' or similar by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Spotify
- If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- **Important information:** For the purposes of this market, where a song takes the form of a “new song,” the release must be an original composition.
- Releases derived from or modifying a song already publicly available on Spotify, including releases with newly added verses or other modifications to an existing composition, do not meet the Payout Criterion solely by virtue of containing new material.
- Accordingly, “SmaXk Or Die - (feat.
- Playboi Carti)” by Fatt Smaxk, released May 22, 2026, is derived from “SmaXk Or Die” by Fatt Smaxk, which was publicly available on Spotify beginning October 11, 2025.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 295,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,9 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 44,3 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 219,4 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 résultats de plus
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Playboi Carti release a new song? ?
- Kalshi cote Before November à 33% au 13 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Playboi Carti release a new song? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Playboi Carti release a new song? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment When will Playboi Carti release a new song? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.