KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 50%
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
671,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
49.0% / 57.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The White HouseU.S. Department of the InteriorNational Park Servicethe Associated PressReutersThe Washington PostABC News
- For this market, a qualifying action is limited to one of the following:
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing artifact loan to the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing procurement-assistance arrangement with the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency withholds, rescinds, suspends, or refuses a named discretionary grant to the Smithsonian, or imposes a new binding condition on that grant.
- The Department of the Interior or National Park Service installs any of the temporary Smithsonian-related signs or exhibits on National Park Service property ordered by Executive Order 14416.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.