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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlection
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Résolu: 4 juin 2026, 18:20

Résultat Gagnant

Oh Se-hoon

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

10%

Surprise
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

1,4 k €

Liquidité

1,1 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 jours

Obsolète
16 déc. 25, 15:003 juin 27, 14:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%2 juin3 juin4 juin
Résultat24hProbabilité
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Règles

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.