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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Résolu: 5 juin 2026, 14:49

Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

5,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

- / 100.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 jours

Obsolète
4 mai 26, 18:0016 mai 26, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Règles

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.