KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle2.5% to 2.9% 24%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
2,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
14.0% / 70.0%
Spread
56.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
7 juil. 26, 23:3029 janv. 27, 13:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Below 2.5%15%
Tendance du volume
$88 juil.7j de données24 juil.
Marchés Associés
US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?
0 €Oui: 70%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
1 M €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
74,5 k €0 (0: 85%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
55,1 k €October Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
41,4 k €Above 3.75%: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
36,3 k €Oui: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the US personal saving rate for 2026 is below 2.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Federal Reserve Economic Data, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this market, “personal saving rate” refers to FRED series PSAVERT, Personal Saving Rate, for December 2026.
- This value is reported as a percent, seasonally adjusted annual rate, and is sourced by FRED from the U.S.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for December 2026.
- Revisions released after the first publication of the December 2026 value will not be considered.