South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleLarry Rhoden, ≥25% 89%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
637,3 €
Liquidité
760,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
88.0% / 93.0%
Spread
5.7%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
24 juil. 26, 14:3028 juil. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Larry Rhoden, ≥25%89%
Tendance du volume
$72524 juil.3j de données26 juil.
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If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.
- If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.