KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleHormuz 53%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,7 k €
Liquidité
3,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
44.0% / 52.0%
Spread
18.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
7 juil. 26, 17:0223 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Hormuz53%
Tendance du volume
$4.2k7 juil.2j de données8 juil.
Marchés Associés
First overseas visit of the next UK PM?
55,9 €USA 🇺🇸: 10%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
0 €Donald Trump: 58.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSKeir Starmer, Benjamin Netanyahu, who’s out first?
438,1 €Keir starmer: 97.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
874,3 k €December 31: 36%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by...?
300,9 k €August 31: 29%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
237,7 k €December 31: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Gulf officials weigh US-backed Lebanon–Israel framework as Polymarket Yes slipsBlockchain.News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
US-Iran talks fray as Polymarket puts Dec 31 nuclear deal odds at 45.5%Blockchain.News
Hezbollah rhetoric hits Lebanon recognition odds as Polymarket slips to 21%Blockchain.NewsRègles
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the NATO Secretary General press conference at the NATO Summit in Ankara will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NATO Secretary General press conference at the NATO Summit in Ankara will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.