KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 70%
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
781,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
24.0% / 29.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
11 mars 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This Payout Criterion includes a member switching from partisan affiliation to independent, or independent to a given political party.
- This Payout Criterion also includes a member of Congress announcing that they will run for the next Congressional office, or in another future political campaign, in a different party's primary.
- For purposes of this Contract, partisan affiliation encompasses national party affiliations, and does not encompass regional political party affiliation.
- For example, a member announcing that they intend to join the Democratic Party instead of the Democratic-Farmers-Labor Party will not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.