KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 1.25 million · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 1.25 million 95%En tête parmi 9 options
At least 1.25 million 95%Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
395,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 1.25 millionÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
24 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC4 nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 1.25 million
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Colorado Amendment 84 (ID requirement for mail ballots) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsMail-in ballots eliminated by 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiRègles
If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the headline "Mail ballots requested" figure at the top of the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the request_all value for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 1.25 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.25 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.2 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.3 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.35 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.4 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.45 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.45 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.5 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.6 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.7 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
