Probabilité implicite actuelle
David Miliband 6%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
518,1 €
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
9 juil. 26, 18:438 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
David Miliband6%
Comparer les plateformes· Ed Miliband
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global72% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 55% | -1pt | 9,5 k € | 172,2 k € | il y a 10 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2,9 k € | il y a 30 minutes | |
 Smarkets72% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | il y a 30 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
9.0%5mo
+0.5%55%
50%
50%
+34 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total245,2 k €
Volume 24h9,5 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
40 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,3 k €
Volume 24h418 €
SMARKETSRègles
If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087-14 j
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087-14 jTendance du volume
$5929 juil.9j de données17 juil.
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If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.