Probabilité implicite actuelle
Ed Miliband 72%+3.0%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1 k €
Liquidité
25,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
5.2%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
22 juin 26, 17:578 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Ed Miliband72%
Comparer les plateformes· Ed Miliband
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 52% | 0pt | 4,9 k € | 253,3 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | 72% | +20pt | 1 k € | 25,8 k € | il y a 9 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
1.0%5mo
+1.0%52%
50%
50%
+32 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total609,3 k €
Volume 24h4,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.2k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.