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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?
What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Politique
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: 2028 / Campaign (99%)

Résolu: 28 mai 2026, 00:44

Résultat Gagnant

2028 / Campaign

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

—

Probabilité implicite actuelle
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign 99%
En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

1,4 k €

Liquidité

1,3 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 16 jours

Obsolète
27 mai 26, 20:0711 juin 26, 14:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

2028 / Campaign99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Republican1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Fraud1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Iran / Iranian1%
Trump (3+ times)99%
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting99%
Event does not qualify1%
ID / Identification99%
Spencer / Pratt1%
Democracy99%
Karen / Bass1%
0%25%50%75%100%27 mai
Résultat24hProbabilité
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign
99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Republican
Republican
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Fraud
Fraud
1%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

Marchés Associés

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

924,8 k €
Jordan Bardella: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

847,8 k €
Gavin Newsom: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

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Democratic Party: 96.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9,2 k €
Democratic Party: 92.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Starmer out before July?

9,1 k €
Oui: 17.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.