KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4 98%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
15 mai 26, 20:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
KalshiOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 10 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 9 in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If more than 2 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- If more than 3 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 4 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 5 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 6 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 7 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 251,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 244,3 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt92.4%
- 89° to 90°-20.0pt3.8%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt0.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+40.0pt79.8%
- 92° to 93°16.5%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt0.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+27.0pt66.3%
- 84° or below-12.0pt15.4%
- 87° to 88°-12.0pt15.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+23.0pt44.8%
- 87° to 88°-3.0pt18.1%
- 89° to 90°+11.0pt16.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 4 à 98% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? doit être résolu le 1 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If more than 2 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.