South Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Biggs, 25+ pts 91%En tête parmi 9 options
Biggs, 25+ pts 91%Qualité du marché
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
197,8 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
8.4 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:25 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Règles de chaque résultat
- Biggs, 25+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 28+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 31+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 34+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 37+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 40+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 43+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 46+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 46 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biggs, 49+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 3rd District by 49 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
