KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 60%
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
620,8 €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
39.0% / 42.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
23 août 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If, after Issuance and before January 1, 2028, Matthew McConaughey publicly announces that he will run for any government office in any election year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Matthew McConaugheyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If, after Issuance and before January 1, 2028, Matthew McConaughey publicly announces that he will run for any government office in any election year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.