KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above -8% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above -8% 50%En tête parmi 11 options
Above -8% 50%Qualité du marché
13 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
0 $US
Intérêt ouvert inconnuAchat / Vente
— / —
Above -8%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 53 minutes
En retard28 oct. 26, 14:15 UTC4 nov. 26, 11:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above -8%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
30-year mortgage rate this week
KalshiFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold Markets30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
Kalshi30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027
KalshiMortgage rates higher in 5 years?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Mortgage Bankers Association
- The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above -8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
