Probabilité implicite actuelle
76° to 77° 28%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
694,4 €
Liquidité
694,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
27.0% / 33.0%
Spread
22.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
15 juil. 26, 14:0017 juil. 26, 5:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
76° to 77°28%
Marchés Associés
Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?
16,3 k €77° to 78°: 98%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 15, 2026?
39,1 k €78° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 15, 2026?
21,4 k €86° or below: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
38,8 k €16°C: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
27,6 k €80-81°F: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27,4 k €29°C: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Central Park NY" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.