KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Craig Greenberg 94.9%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
92.0% / 95.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 mai 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketHsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketHobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Jefferson County Board of Elections
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Louisville Mayor Election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Craig Greenberg à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Louisville Mayor Election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Louisville Mayor Election winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Louisville Mayor Election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.