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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 09:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
3 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiBrazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?
FutuurVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiVenezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later.
- Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 125,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 598,2 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-8.5pt82.2%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+8.4pt15.8%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+15 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt8%
- September 305%
- Volume total
- 89,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 34,2 k €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt43%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.8%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 31 k €
KALSHINew Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Hawai'i-6.0pt71%
- New Mexico St.+5.0pt29%
- Volume total
- 22,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,8 k €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-0.3pt85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez11.3%
- María Corina Machado+0.3pt2.1%
+13 résultats de plus
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Paraná Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
- Tucuman vs River Plate
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Venezuela exit OPEC? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 0% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Venezuela exit OPEC? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Venezuela exit OPEC? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Venezuela exit OPEC? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.