KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelleRuben Gallego 3%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
10 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
52,5 €
Liquidité
784 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 100.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 jours
Obsolète14 avr. 26, 16:001 juil. 26, 3:59
Tendances
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Ruben Gallego
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 3% | — | 52,5 € | 784 € | il y a 25 jours | |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · auto | — | 0% | — | — | — | il y a 19 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will leave Congress before July? (Kalshi)
Fermés
Résolu
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire6 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."