KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15.5%Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,6 k €
Intérêt ouvert
2,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard11 nov. 26, 22:30 UTC31 déc. 29, 21:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX "between" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.