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  • Accueil
  • MarchésMarchés de Prédiction
  • Actualités
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

10.0% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: Above 30 (99%)

Résolu: 2 juin 2026, 15:33

Résultat Gagnant

Above 30

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

28%

Surprise
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 40
Above 40 1%-10.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

40 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

536,5 €

Liquidité

1 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

- / 100.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 11 jours

Obsolète
27 mai 26, 13:002 juin 26, 13:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

Above 4010%
Above 501%
Above 3099%
Above 2554%
Above 1591%
Above 2072%
Above 1099%
Above 1001%
Above 751%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%1 juin2 juin2 juin
Résultat24hProbabilité
Above 40
Above 40
-10.0%
1%
Above 50
Above 50
-2.0%
1%
Above 30
Above 30
+62.0%
99%
Above 25
Above 25
+39.0%
99%
Above 15
Above 15
+2.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+10.0%
99%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

125,5 €
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

6,5 M €
December 31: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 M €
July 31: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1,2 M €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]

30,7 k €
Oui: 46%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

15,4 k €
Oui: 20%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,166.08+1.14%EthereumETH$1,679.46+0.79%SolanaSOL$67.86+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.59%BNBBNB$608.90+0.40%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Règles

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.