Probabilité implicite actuelle
103° or below 46%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,4 k €
Liquidité
4,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
41.0% / 46.0%
Spread
12.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
3 juil. 26, 14:005 juil. 26, 7:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
103° or below46%
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 3, 2026?
34,5 k €108° to 109°: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
341,4 k €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 3, 2026?
52,1 k €70° to 71°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
154,4 k €32°C: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
120,6 k €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
94,6 k €30°C: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 104° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.