Probabilité implicite actuelle
70° to 71° 99%+68.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
52,1 k €
Liquidité
41,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 juil. 26, 14:004 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
70° to 71°99%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 4?
4.5%4h
+4.5%42%
+18.5%35%
-10.5%15%
+8 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total22,8 k €
Volume 24h18,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 3, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
154,4 k €32°C: 100%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
120,6 k €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
94,6 k €30°C: 93%POLYMARKET
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 3, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.