Probabilité implicite actuelle
87° or below 50%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
79,6 €
Liquidité
95,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
15 juil. 26, 14:0017 juil. 26, 6:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
87° or below50%
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 15, 2026?
20,6 k €86° or below: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?
135,7 k €86° or above: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?
66,9 k €96° or below: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
38,3 k €16°C: 61%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
27,1 k €80-81°F: 41%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
24,7 k €29°C: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.