KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle78° to 79° 46.7%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
38,2 k €
Liquidité
27,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
28 juil. 26, 14:0030 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
80° to 81°36%
Comparer les plateformes· 78° to 79°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 38% | — | 22 k € | 143,6 k € | il y a 1 minute | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Élevée | 50% | — | 38,2 k € | 27,5 k € | il y a 17 minutes | |
 Gemini93% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 48% | — | 435,5 € | 0 € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29, 2026?
20h
44.9%
33.6%
8.9%
+3 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total435,5 €
Volume 24h435,5 €
GEMINIÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29?
9.4 pts4h
+15.5pt36.2%
+0.5pt24.8%
+13.0pt24.8%
+8 résultats de plus
80 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total28,7 k €
Volume 24h22 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$43.5k28 juil.2j de données29 juil.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.