Probabilité implicite actuelle
83° or below 22%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
19,6 k €
Liquidité
13,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
4.5%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
21 juil. 26, 14:0023 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
83° or below22%
Comparer les plateformes· 84° to 85°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 41% | — | 14,9 k € | 46,9 k € | il y a 4 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Élevée | 53% | — | 19,6 k € | 13,9 k € | il y a 24 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 22?
1.5%9h
+5.0%41%
-1.5%32%
+1.0%18%
+8 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total15,1 k €
Volume 24h14,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 22, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 22, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$22.3k21 juil.2j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?
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Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 21, 2026?
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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 83 F on July 21, 2026?
72,2 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActifs dans ces sujets
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 22, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 22, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.