Probabilité implicite actuelle
86° to 87° 36%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
437,4 €
Liquidité
303,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
33.0% / 37.0%
Spread
12.1%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
15 juil. 26, 14:0017 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
86° to 87°36%
Comparer les plateformes· 86° to 87°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 38% | — | 10,3 k € | 45,7 k € | il y a 5 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Faible | 36% | — | 437,4 € | 303,8 € | il y a 25 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 16?
19h
38%
25%
18%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total10,3 k €
Volume 24h10,3 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.