KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Résolu: 14 juil. 2026, 15:15
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Enregistré
- 16 juil. 2026, 07:39
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Probabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
907,3 €
Liquidité
242,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 jours
Obsolète24 juin 26, 17:0016 juil. 26, 3:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Before Jan 1, 2027
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 907,3 € | 242,8 k € | il y a 13 jours | |
 Manifold Markets75% de correspondance · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | il y a 16 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5mo
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire6 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes-17 j
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes-17 j$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes-17 j
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes-17 j$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes-19 j
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes-19 j$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No-22 j
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No-22 jTendance du volume
$1.0k2 juil.13j de données14 juil.
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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
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Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
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Will the SAVE Act become law?
429,1 €SAVE Act becomes law?: 7.5%
GEMINI
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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.