KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 02:16 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
421,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
21,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Nov 3, 2026Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète17 avr. 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Nov 3, 2026
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Ruben GallegoThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersUnited States SenateCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%
