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When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

66.0 pts (24h)IA TechOne-Off

KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur

CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.

Provenance du règlement

Résultat en vigueur: KXFRONTIER-FRON-26JUL01:no
Enregistré: 27 juil. 2026, 21:26
Observations: 1
Révisions: 0
Méthode: resolution_watch

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Before September

Before September 99%+66.0pt

En tête parmi 7 options

Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

14,9 k €

Liquidité

38,8 k €

Liquidité élevée

Achat / Vente

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread serré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 heures

Obsolète

29 juin 26, 19:001 sept. 26, 14:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

Before November99%

Before December99%

Before July2%

Before August99%

Before September99%

Before October99%

Before 202799%

Résultat24hProbabilité

Before September

Before September

+66.0 pts

99%

Before October

Before October

+47.0 pts

99%

Before August

Before August

+92.0 pts

99%

Before 2027

Before 2027

+28.0 pts

99%

Before November

Before November

+40.0 pts

99%

Before December

Before December

+27.0 pts

99%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendance du volume

$16.9k

2 juil.26j de données27 juil.

Marchés Associés

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

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Règles

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.