KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 500,000 99%+18.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidité
7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
10.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
21 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NFL: Will Brandon Aubrey kick a 65+ yd NFL FG OR any movie gross $2.8B+ worldwide by Feb 28, 2027? (2/28/27)
Manifold MarketsConditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?
Manifold MarketsThink Media! Not quite 3.5 Million YouTube followers. Will they reach 5 Million or more by end of 2028? (They teach.)
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRègles
If clavicular has At least 400000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:clavicular
- The follower count is determined by the publicly displayed count on the account's profile page.
- If the platform displays abbreviated numbers (e.g., "1.2M"), the most precise available count will be used.
- The count is assessed at 11:59 PM ET before the target date.
- If the account is permanently suspended or deleted, the market resolves to last fair price.
- If the account becomes private and follower counts are invisible, the market resolves to No. Temporary suspensions that are lifted before the target date do not affect resolution if follower counts become visible again.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 500,000 à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If clavicular has At least 400000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.