Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?
1.0 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off2mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jan 1, 2028 77%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
47 €
Liquidité
3,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
32.0% / 37.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
14 mai 26, 2:001 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Oct 1, 202637%
Tendance du volume
$532 juil.14j de données28 juil.
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Règles
If the FDA approves camizestrant for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer with ESR1 mutation for marketing before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An approval is defined as:
- For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
- The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
- Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
- The following do NOT constitute approvals: