KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Before Jul 3, 2026 (99%)
Résolu: 1 juil. 2026, 14:52
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Before Jul 3, 2026
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
26%
SurpriseProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jul 3, 2026 99%+74.0ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
538,3 k €
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 100.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 jours
Obsolète13 juin 26, 14:001 juil. 26, 3:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Before Jul 17, 202676%
Before Jul 1, 20262%
Before Jul 3, 202699%
Before Jul 7, 202699%
Before Jul 10, 202699%
Before Jun 15, 20262%
1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Before Jul 3, 2026
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global90% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 314,6 k € | 0 € | il y a 25 jours | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 99% | — | 538,3 k € | 5,7 k € | il y a 27 jours | |
 Manifold Markets93% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 20 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
When will Anthropic's API customers get access to Fable 5 again?
Fermés
Résolu
Before August 1st (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+6 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire72 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by which date?
72.5 ptsFermés
+72.5pt100%
+11.7pt100%
+4.8pt100%
+16 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total4,8 M €
Volume 24h314,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$3.6k99.2%POLYMARKETYeslibratus1-27 j
POLYMARKETYeslibratus1-27 j$1.0k9.9%POLYMARKETNoparacels-27 j
POLYMARKETNoparacels-27 j$3.2k99.0%POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42-27 j
POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42-27 j$2.1k78.4%POLYMARKETNoHornyBibi-28 j
POLYMARKETNoHornyBibi-28 j$1.1k78.9%POLYMARKETYesGGWPGL-28 j
POLYMARKETYesGGWPGL-28 jMarchés Associés
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
67,4 k €1480+: 100%POLYMARKET
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Which company has best AI model end of July?
50,5 k €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Anthropic IPO by __?
31,2 k €December 31,: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
22,1 k €Qwen: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Top AI model this week
11,3 k €claude-opus-5-high: 13%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
8,1 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.