KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 12:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Above $20/MWh · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above $20/MWh 50.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Above $20/MWh 50.5%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
0 $US
Intérêt ouvert inconnuAchat / Vente
— / —
Above $20/MWhÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
23 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC30 oct. 26, 20:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above $20/MWh
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Règles
If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas, Inc. (ERCOT)
- Period: October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 30, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above $20/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $30/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $30/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $40/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $40/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $50/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $65/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $65/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $100/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $200/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $200/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
