KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
11,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
0.6% / 5.0%
Écart
4.4 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 mars 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran hold a presidential election by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
KalshiWhen will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina hold presidential elections on schedule in 2027?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRègles
If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran hold a presidential election? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran hold a presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran hold a presidential election? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Iran hold a presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.