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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 22:57 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
22,1 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
24 août 26, 14:00 UTC1 mars 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWhich party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiRègles
If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses the named outcome in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Democratic Socialists of America
- An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028.
- The statement must be public (not private communications) and must specifically reference that race or be clearly in context of it.
- The endorsement must come directly from DSA or through its official channels.
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: DSA states that it endorses the candidate for president DSA states that it supports the candidate, with clear reference to the race DSA releases an official endorsement through its national channels DSA allows its name or logo to be used in the candidate's campaign materials
- Positive comments without explicit support, or policy endorsements without a candidate endorsement, do not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? ?
- Kalshi cote Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez à 22% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2028.
- Comment Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses the named outcome in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.