KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore September 1, 2026 5%-1.2ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
721,9 €
Liquidité
256,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
12 mai 26, 20:001 août 26, 14:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before August 1, 20262%
Comparer les plateformes· Before September 1, 2026
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 5% | — | 721,9 € | 256,3 k € | il y a 20 minutes | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 30% | — | 569,8 € | 14,7 k € | il y a 20 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
0.5 ptsFermés
-0.5pt30%
-0.2pt0%
0%
62 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total1,8 M €
Volume 24h569,8 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$8222 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.