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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

12.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueLatin America1mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before August 1, 2026
Before August 1, 2026 18%-12.0%
En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

44 €

Liquidité

2,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

17.0% / 22.0%

Spread

29.4%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

12 mai 26, 20:001 août 26, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%
Before June 1, 2026
Before June 1, 2026
0%

Résultat choisi

Before August 1, 202618%

Règles

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.