KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before November 1, 2026 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before November 1, 2026 3%En tête parmi 4 options
Before November 1, 2026 3%Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
116,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before November 1, 2026Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
22 août 26, 21:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before October 1, 2026Perdu
Before September 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before November 1, 2026
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation. Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before November 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.