KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,1 €
Liquidité
10,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.6% / 8.9%
Écart
1.3 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
21 nov. 24, 15:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat percent of Project 2025 will be accomplished by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the U.S. adds a new constitutional amendment before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. adds a new constitutional amendment before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.