KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 73%
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
76,2 €
Liquidité
647,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
23.0% / 29.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
31 août 26, 17:00 UTC1 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
GTA VI released by which date?
PolymarketWill Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027?
KalshiWhat year will GTA VI (6) come out
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI to release by November 19, 2026?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
PolymarketRègles
If Take-Two Interactive or Rockstar Games publicly disclose a numeric figure for Grand Theft Auto VI preorders before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseABCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalMSNBCThe InformationNBCThe Washington PostThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCNNthe Associated PressCBSPoliticoBloomberg News
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will GTA VI preorders be reported? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will GTA VI preorders be reported? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will GTA VI preorders be reported? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Will GTA VI preorders be reported? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Take-Two Interactive or Rockstar Games publicly disclose a numeric figure for Grand Theft Auto VI preorders before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.