KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Alibaba 86.4%En tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,2 k €
Liquidité
6,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
14 sept. 26, 14:01 UTC28 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company this month
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Polymarket2nd largest company end of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt96%
- September 30+4.1pt94%
- October 31+0.9pt94%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 59,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.6pt96%
- Yes-0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,4 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
- 29°C+7.5pt57.4%
- 28°C+19.0pt37.6%
- 30°C-19.5pt4%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBeijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers
- Beijing Guoan+4.0pt52.5%
- Tie-1.0pt24.8%
- Pohang Steelers-5.0pt22.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.0pt91%
- Moonshot-1.1pt6%
- Z.ai-0.1pt2%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- 8+42.0pt66%
- Greater than 8-47.5pt19.4%
- 7+9.3pt14.6%
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Bangladesh vs China
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
- Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers
- September Inflation China - Annual
- Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers - Exact Score
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st ?
- Kalshi cote Alibaba à 86% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st doit être résolu le 28 septembre 2026.
- Comment Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.