Probabilité implicite actuelle
Alexander Dobrindt 1%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
22,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
21 juil. 26, 17:488 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Alexander Dobrindt1%
Grosses transactions
$1.7k90.0%
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesavant-hier
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesavant-hierTendance du volume
$1.5k21 juil.6j de données26 juil.
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If Thorsten Frei formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Carsten Linnemann formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Dobrindt formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nina Warken formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.