Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 15%
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
69,1 €
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
13.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
31 janv. 26, 15:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes15%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1.0%3mo
-0.0%12%
+0.0%88%
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total70,8 k €
Volume 24h112 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.