Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionLatin America1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.0% / 10.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
31 janv. 26, 15:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Superior Electoral Court
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 7%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 6 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 7% · 2 plateformes · 6 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 179 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt40.6%
- Renan Santos2%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-4.0pt59%
- October 31-4.5pt37%
- September 30-5.0pt18%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance46.3%
- Marco Rubio20%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt5.3%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 52,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 345,2 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
KALSHIFlorida Governor winner?
- Byron Donalds-3.0pt81%
- David Jolly+1.0pt19%
- Volume total
- 617 k €
- Volume 24h
- 270,6 k €
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by August 31?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 87% au 31 août 2026.
- Quand Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.