KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
11.0% / 16.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
27 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsBBC NewsFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoCNNFox NewsABC NewsCBS NewsNBC NewsAl Jazeera EnglishDeutsche WelleFrance 24 EnglishNHK World-JapanChannel NewsAsiaThe South China Morning PostThe Times of IndiaThe Globe and Mail
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
- Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
- Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 54% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.