KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
SDA 78.6%En tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
127,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
16 mai 26, 21:00 UTC4 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PolymarketNext Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina
FutuurNext Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PolymarketNext Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If SDA wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote SDA à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner? doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.