AI capability growth before July?
7.0% (24h)One-Off20j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAt least 1550 score 2%-7.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
126,5 €
Liquidité
910,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
6 janv. 26, 15:001 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
At least 1550 score2%
Marchés Associés
AI capability growth this year?
0,5 €At least 1650 score: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
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POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
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POLYMARKET
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POLYMARKET
can you just balenciaga it? Before 2027
217 k €Oui: 13%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
214,4 k €Oui: 97%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Règles
If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.