KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 5.40% (99%)
Résolu: 21 oct. 2026, 12:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 oct. 2026, 10:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 5.40%99%
Above 5.45%1%
Above 5.46%5%
Above 5.37%0%
Above 5.38%0%
Above 5.39%0%
Above 5.41%96%
Above 5.42%96%
Above 5.43%0%
Above 5.44%6%
Above 5.47%0%
Above 5.48%0%
Above 5.49%0%
Above 5.50%0%
Above 5.51%0%
Above 5.52%0%
Above 5.40%Gagné
Above 5.42%Perdu
Above 5.44%Perdu
Above 5.45%Perdu
Above 5.46%Perdu
Above 5.37%Perdu
Above 5.38%Perdu
Above 5.39%Perdu
Above 5.41%Perdu
Above 5.43%Perdu
Above 5.47%Perdu
Above 5.48%Perdu
Above 5.49%Perdu
Above 5.50%Perdu
Above 5.51%Perdu
Above 5.52%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.40% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Pyth - 30Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 5.40%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.40% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.42%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.42% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.44%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.44% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.45%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.45% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.46%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.46% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.37%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.37% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.38%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.38% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.39%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.39% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.41%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.41% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.43%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.43% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.47%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.47% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.48%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.48% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.49%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.49% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.50%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.50% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.51%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.51% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.52%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.52% at Oct 21, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.