KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDerek Tran 80.8%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
11,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
78.0% / 84.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
1 juil. 25, 14:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Derek Tran80%
Comparer les plateformes· Derek Tran
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global60% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 26,5 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 80% | — | 0 € | 11,9 k € | il y a 17 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
CA-45 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3mo
87%
-1.0pt13%
0%
+5 résultats de plus
69 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité élevée
Volume total13,5 k €
Volume 24h217,9 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1053 juil.10j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
311,9 k €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
51,5 k €Perry Johnson: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President before 2027?
25,4 k €Oui: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
9,6 k €Democratic: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
5,7 k €Democrats, 6 to 8%: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
Blue wave in 2026?
4,2 k €Oui: 74%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.